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Romney holds lead in N.C. before DNC begins in Charlotte

September 3, 2012

Reporters convened at The Charlotte Observer to hear the results of the most recent Elon University Poll concerning North Carolina voters’ presidential choice. The survey revealed Republican nominee Mitt Romney holds a lead over President Barack Obama in North Carolina, with 47 percent of likely voters in favor of Romney and 43 percent of likely voters in support of Obama.

The likely voters’ emphasis on economic issues explains Romney’s greater favorability.

“Besides asking respondents who they said they would vote for, we asked them to compare the candidates on three specific issues,” said Kenneth Fernandez, director of the Elon University Poll.

While those surveyed said they believed Romney would better handle economic issues, a plurality of 47 percent said Obama would do a better job of handling foreign relations. Nevertheless, North Carolina voters named the economy and jobs as the most important factor in their presidential choice.

Presidential Vote by Gender

The results also indicated that the female population is almost evenly split between the two presidential candidates. While Obama still holds support from the majority of Black voters, Taylor Batten, editorial page reporter for The Charlotte Observer, said the President still needs to secure 35 percent of the White vote in order to win North Carolina.

While the Democratic candidate is more favorable among 18 to 30-year-old voters, the poll results indicated enthusiasm from the younger voting population has declined since the 2008 election.

Furthermore, 9 percent of those who voted for Obama in the 2008 election indicated they would likely vote for Romney in the 2012 election.

Presidential Vote Choice by Race

“Romney has a slight edge with voters going for him who say they are very excited,” Fernandez said.

The live-caller telephone poll, which began Aug. 25 and concluded Aug. 30, collected 1,257 surveys, but of only the answers from the 1,089 respondents who indicated they were likely to vote were analyzed. The poll contains a margin of error of 3 percent.

Presidential Vote Choice by Age

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